- 4:59 PM:
Last update for today, great being with all of you folks today and hope to you see you tommorrow @ 4:00 EST. No rallys are on at this time. And let me dip in some sports, are Philadelphia Eagles are down 7 pts right now, no way!!! GO EAGLES!!!! see ya tommorrow and email me anytime and give me topics on what I should cover right here on the Countdown to Election Day. Let me go catch up on Eagles and more……..STARTING TODAY MY BLOG IS 24/7 at groundreport.com/eyewitnessnews
- 1:47 PM:
Obama is speaking right now in Columbus, OH. Heres some of what he is saying right now:
Obama: "We can build a future as one people, one nation"
Obama: "We’re in the middle of the worst economic crisis"
Obama: " I will give a tax break to 95% of american people"
Obama:" If you make under $250,00, your taxes won’t go up"
watch the whole speech live at cnn.com/live, see ya in a bit
- 12:25 PM :
Good Afternoon All! I’ve got more poll numbers for all you generous folks checking in with me, nice to have you with us. These poll numbers show the national average for Obama and McCain as well as how their doing in the Electoral College. Lastly, they show how their doing in the Key battleground states below only Missouri shows to be leaning toward McCain and not by a wide margin.I think he has alot of work to do as the election starts winding down. McCain and Palin are both out and about today and their words can be viewed right now on FOX News Channel. McCain is saying that Democarts want to take your 401 K contributions. Mcain also says I won’t let congress take your retirement savings. Mcain also says " I will not be a president that needs to be tested". I’ll eat a litle and join you throughout the day coming up next…First, the poll numbers below from Real Clear Politics. Sorry for the spelling typos this is a live blog!!!
Election 2008 Obama McCain Spread RCP National Average 50.4 44.0 Obama +6.4 Favorable Ratings +19.6 +8.0 Obama +11.6 Intrade Market Odds 87.9 12.5 – Electoral College Obama McCain Spread RCP Electoral Count 278 132 Obama +146 No Toss Up States 353 185 Obama +168 Battleground States Obama McCain Spread Florida 50.0 45.8 Obama +4.2 North Carolina 47.8 47.5 Obama +0.3 Virginia 49.8 46.0 Obama +3.8 Ohio 48.8 44.6 Obama +4.2 Missouri 47.3 48.0 McCain +0.7 Colorado 50.5 45.0 Obama +5.5 Nevada 49.3 43.5 Obama +5.8
- 11:45 AM
What is the Bradley Effect? Well it is, less commonly called the Wilder effect, is a proposed explanation for observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some US government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other. Many researchers say that won’t happen this time around. What do you think, tell us below! Recently, McCain attacked Obama on his Faith in us. The Fox News story is here: McCain Attacks Obama’s Faith in Americans. I’ll continue surfing the news channels and have more later, Ciao!
11:15 AM:
- With this race closing up, you need the poll numbers. Real Clear Politics provides the table below which shows different polls and how Obama and Mcain are doing in the National Election. As the table below shows, Obama seems to to be taking the lead, as all polls show Obama with a lead. Probaly the most important is the latest one the RCP average which combines all the polls and gives an average shows that Obama is ahead 6 pts. But could the polls be showing the Bradley Effect? More later….
- Poll span % % Percent Lead
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Obama (D) | McCain (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/27 – 11/01 | — | — | 50.4 | 44.0 | Obama +6.4 |
| CNN/Opinion Research | 10/30 – 11/01 | 714 LV | 3.5 | 53 | 46 | Obama +7 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/30 – 11/01 | 3000 LV | 2.0 | 51 | 46 | Obama +5 |
| Gallup (Traditional)* | 10/30 – 11/01 | 2503 LV | 2.0 | 51 | 43 | Obama +8 |
| Gallup (Expanded)* | 10/30 – 11/01 | 2475 LV | 2.0 | 52 | 43 | Obama +9 |
| Diageo/Hotline | 10/30 – 11/01 | 882 LV | 3.6 | 50 | 45 | Obama +5 |
| Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby | 10/30 – 11/01 | 1201 LV | 2.9 | 50 | 44 | Obama +6 |
| Pew Research | 10/29 – 11/01 | 2587 LV | 2.2 | 49 | 42 | Obama +7 |
| IBD/TIPP | 10/29 – 11/01 | 844 LV | 3.4 | 47 | 45 | Obama +2 |
| CBS News | 10/28 – 10/31 | 747 LV | — | 54 | 41 | Obama +13 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 10/28 – 10/31 | 1900 LV | 2.5 | 53 | 44 | Obama +9 |
| GWU/Battleground | 10/27 – 10/30 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 45 | Obama +4 |
| Marist | 10/29 – 10/29 | 543 LV | 4.5 | 50 | 43 | Obama +7 |
| FOX News | 10/28 – 10/29 | 924 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 44 | Obama +3 |
- 10:59 AM:
Hi Everyone with two days to election day I’m debuting a brand new blog called "Countdown to Election Day". America Decides who will be the next one to take over 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. Right now, I’m switching between the cable networks. Fox News, has Laura Ingle at a NYC Maration and with fans weighing in on the Election with Bill Hemmer and Megan Kelly anchoring. CNN, is getting ready to debut its last poll before election day, I’ll have the results later on. CNN, is also taling about Faith & Poltics is there a Poltical message in church, leave your comments below. MSNBC, talking about John Mcains stop at SNL last night, did you see it? He was at QVC with his wife because "he couldn’t afford half over of tv time". I’ll got take a run outside. Did you set your clocks back an hour, its time too? I’ll see you in about an hour, start blogging below!!!