Summary
This is from my point of view about the step of strategies that might used by Iranian if US agree to attack the countries along with Israel ie:
- Iran will settle down air and their ground defence along the Hormuz strait
- Rebuild and modernized their military abilities
- They might can blockade the strait but to sink down the oil tankers wasn’t the best option because of environmental issue which also might suffered his own citizen unless they never use the bay for fishing.
- Secret sabotage
Meanwhile if US along with his allied agreed to attack, oil shipping from mid east need to enroute or select alternative oil distribution. Parsian bay is the best option reminding the active oil flow pipe on Saudi Arabian. To ensure that the traffic is clear and clean for oil tanker sail, the huge US warships command fleet should move out and resettled. Other two pipe will flow out through the north sea
Iranian will stop the oil supply for the world which might boost up the price to undetermined rate.
Here are the list show amount of pipeline and its oil flow ie.:
- Pipe across Iraqi => 1,4 million barrel a days
- Across Arabian => 50,000 barrel a days
- Across Saudi Arabian => 5 million barrel a days
- Iraqi pipe across Saudi Arabian => 1,65 million barrel a days
(Source: Reuters)
Hormuz strait for ship entrance has 3,2 km of width. Iranian has been settled their ground to sea defence both highly mobilitay or station on few small island on the strait to blockade ships from sailing. Iran admitted that they have already developed unique weapons. They also have torpedos range 300 km beside Shabab guidance missile with 2.012 km of ranging.
Meanwhile yesterday Qadafi adviced Iran to stop stubborn and more corporate to western if don’t want to end up just like Iraqi. He said that Iran will be humiliate in military ways if they persistent. For years Libya under Moamar Qadafi presidential faced great loss from US and their allied assault.
6 countries including US has agreed to put another sanction for Iran. Only Russia and China seem like to fail the sanction for humanity purpose. Iran refused to use caramel instead of uranium in their nuclear program for electricity.