Even though Congress party High Command at New Delhi had taken a risky decision in favour of formation of Telengana state by dividing the state of Andhra Pradesh, under the duress of Telengana Rastra Samiti (TRS) Party’s pressure over Congress party Legislators and Members of Parliament of Telengana region, to get the credit of declaring Telengana state, with a hope to win over 15 Parliamentary seats in Telengana region, at the cost of 24 Parliament seats in Andhra-Rayalaseema regions, Congress may face severe jolt in the Telengana region in 2014 general elections, as Telengana Rastra Samiti (TRS) a major local party in Telengana region by its Machiavellian stand after Congress party’s commitment to Telengana state, now erected its tail and saying that it would not merge TRS party in the Congress, and would not tolerate any kind of domination of Central government over the Hyderabad capital city, in the proposed new Telengana state. Does it not convey a meaning indirectly that TRS party do not tolerate North Indian Parties to dominate over Telengana region? Now TRS party has taken a U turn, after Congress party’s commitment to 10 districts Telengana state with Hyderabad city as its capital, and now decided to go to people for 2014 general elections independently without merging TRS party in Congress.
That means TRS strategy has worked out to damage the Congress party and BJP’s image in Andhra-Rayalaseema regions for having supported Telengana state and also intelligently got Congress party committed for Telengana state by exerting undue pressure on local Congress Legislators and parliament members who in turn put severe pressure on Congress high command, without understanding the strategies of TRS leadership. Taking advantage of innocence of Telengana Congress leaders, now TRS declared that it would not merge TRS party either in the Congress party or in the BJP.
Like Congress party, BJP is also innocently under the hope that it would win at least 12 parliamentary seats of Lok Sabha in 2014 elections in proposed Telengana state by supporting Telengana state, to help out Narendra Modi to become future Prime Minister of India. Both BJP and Congress made innocent estimations of politics of Telengana region. When both national parties are supporting the Telengana state bill in Parliament and want to gain the credit of giving Telengana state to win Elections in Telengana region – is that really an intelligent political assessment? Out of 42 Parliament Lok Sabha seats for Andhra Pradesh State, Telengana region has got 17 seats in Lok Sabha and 25 parliamentary Lok Sabha seats are in Andhra – Rayalaseema regions. After supporting Telengana state cause with a view to win majority seats in Telengana region, both BJP and Congress lost image and public support in Andhra Rayalaseema regions, and after bifurcation statement of Andhra Pradesh by Congress, Congress MPs and MLAs are unable to go into the public without resignation to the Congress party membership. Andhra-Rayalaseema public have severely turned against BJP and Congress parties, as both have supported bifurcation of state of Andhra Pradesh to create Telengana state, ignoring several fundamental problems that arise with the bifurcation of state, that would cause damage to Andhra-Rayalaseema regions. So, BJP and Congress can not hope single Lok Sabha Parliamentary seat in the Andhra Rayalaseema regions in the next 2014 general elections. People in that region are abusing Sonia Gandhi and tumbled the statues of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi and also burnt some of the offices of the BJP and demanding the Congress and BJP to change their stands on dividing the Andhra Pradesh state. This situation reveals that BJP and Congress have no hopes of winning any Lok Sabha Parliamentary seats in the next 2014 general elections.
That means TRS has succeeded in damaging both the Congress and BJP in Andhra-Rayalaseema regions. And now after exploiting both the national parties in support of Telengana state, TRS now want to go ahead to contest the 2014 elections independently claiming credit of its sole struggle for achieving Telengana state, without giving public credit to either BJP or Congress parties in the proposed Telengana state.
In this state of affairs, some quarters top Congress leadership in New Delhi seems to be reckoning that If once Telengana state bill is passed in Parliament, without merger of TRS party in Congress, TRS would gain the credit of achieving Telengana State and emerge as indomitable party in the Telengana region, independently. So, pundits are assessing that unless and until the TRS party is unconditionally merged in the Congress party the passing of Telengana Bill in Parliament is doubtful. Because the Congress must gain the credit of giving Telengana state and must win at least 15 Parliamentary seats in the Telengana region to make Rahul Gandhi as future Prime Minister of India. If Congress could not realize 15 seats means, it is a wasteful exercise for Congress for having declared its stand in favor of Telengana state and for having lost sympathy and support of Andhra and Rayalaseema people.
Similarly, now after having lost Panchayat raj elections in the state of Andhra Pradesh in the last month in spite of supporting the Telengana state cause for last several years, BJP may go into reconsideration of its stand on supporting Congress sponsored Telengana state Bill in Parliament. What could be the benefit for BJP if its supports the Telengana Bill introduced by Congress party and what could be the fate of BJP, if Telengana people and also party like TRS if not merged with BJP in the region? For having supported Telengana state cause, BJP has been facing the severe anger of Andhra – Rayalaseema people in that region. And it also did not gain any thing in the local elections of Telengana region. So BJP became scapegoat in the realistic political game of Congress party. Now senior political pundits are advising the BJP to exert pressure on TRS party to merge its party in the BJP to get support for Congress sponsored Telengana Bill in the Parliament. If TRS is merged in BJP, Congress would lose the ground in the Telengana region even if it introduced Telengana bill in the Parliament, as TRS merged BJP would gain the image and strength in Telengana, that in turn would damage the prospects of Congress party in 2014 general elections in the Telengana region.
Hence, New Delhi political pundits are assessing, that – to teach a political lesson to TRS, prior to introduction of Telengana Bill in Parliament, both BJP and Congress would exert severe pressure on TRS party to merge unconditionally in their respective parties. In consequence, from realistic political perspective, if TRS is merged in Congress, there are chances that BJP may reconsider its stand on supporting Congress sponsored Telengana Bill in Parliament, as it would not benefit BJP in any way. Otherwise if TRS is merged in BJP, Congress may have to reconsider its prospects in Telengana state in the forthcoming 2014 General elections, before hastening Telengana Bill in Parliament, as it becomes tough fight for Congress in the 2014 General Election in Telengana region.
So, in view of TRS party’s changed stand to contest 2014 general elections independently without merging its party unconditionally either with BJP or in Congress, after declaration of Telengana state process, both BJP and Congress at national level would start thinking from realistic political perspective and introduce and support Telengana bill in Parliament, only if TRS is unconditionally merged either in Congress and BJP.’ ‘Otherwise both the national parties’ hopes in Telengana region may get shattered if TRS party made to stand independently in the Telengana region’ according to New Delhi political pundits. By dchaitanya